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cd34 2009-08-11 11:44 AM

Tough times in the porn industry
 
"We always said that once the Internet took off, we'd be OK," he added. "It never crossed our minds that we'd be competing with people who just give it away for free."

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-f...386,full.story

Cleo 2009-08-11 11:48 AM

If this morning wasn't already depressing enough.
Quote:

At least five of the 100 top websites in the U.S. are portals for free pornography, referred to in the industry as "tube sites," according to Internet traffic ranking service Alexa .com. Some of their content is amateur work uploaded by users and some is acquired from cheap back catalogs, but much of it is pirated.

Head Boy 2009-08-11 11:57 AM

Yep - we're moving into interesting times. The saddest part is that so many people are turning to cheating, and that reduces the market even further. The last thing we want now are cross-sales and trojan installations.

Preacher 2009-08-11 11:57 AM

A real sign of the end of times...
Quote:

Adult entertainment actress Savannah Stern, whose income has dropped because of the rapid decline in job opportunities in the porn business, is replacing her Mercedes-Benz(Mercedes-Benz CLK 350) with a used car from her parents.

Ramster 2009-08-11 12:01 PM

Things are not looking great that is for sure. But I think it will end up okay for us all, afterall even those giving it away for free need to make money.

LD 2009-08-11 12:13 PM

"Why would anyone pay for porn?" is a question I see a lot these days other non-porn boards. People just expect free porn and think memberships are stupid.

hashbury 2009-08-11 12:28 PM

This is not the end of times, this is the time for the idea guys to come up with new and more profitable ideas. We need to offer stuff the tubes cant give away for free. If we can make it through these tough times, we will only be stronger when the market turns around. The illegal tube sites will eventually kill themselves by either not being able to pay their huge hosting bills or by companys persuing legal action. Atleast thats what im hoping|huh.

Cleo 2009-08-11 12:34 PM

I was at the gym yesterday and two different people that I know there came up to me asking how business is lately. The first one is a guy that runs HIV gay cruises and he was telling me how bad business is due to credit card declines. The second person is a woman who runs a well known mainstream book and magazine store that is located in walking distance of our downtown and a major hospital that told me the same thing about credit card declines.

While I'm sure tube sites and other sources of free porn hurt sales I believe the major reason that sales are so bad is we are in a major recession and credit has dried up along with very restrictive scrubbing by the credit card companies.

When times are good expensive bottled water sells well despite water being freely available.

Head Boy 2009-08-11 12:55 PM

Free water in England is now a health risk. Free porn on the tubes is a health risk for your PC. Maybe we can learn from the marketers of mineral water.

walrus 2009-08-11 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cleo (Post 460429)
While I'm sure tube sites and other sources of free porn hurt sales I believe the major reason that sales are so bad is we are in a major recession and credit has dried up along with very restrictive scrubbing by the credit card companies.

When times are good expensive bottled water sells well despite water being freely available.

I agree the recession has had a major impact. I personally think the recession is helping in driving people to the tube sites.

Those people will leave the tubes once the economy picks up.

It might be free porn but the quality is horrible. People will return so that they can actually watch video's full screen rather than pixelated crap at 400x300

virgohippy 2009-08-11 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by walrus (Post 460436)
It might be free porn but the quality is horrible. People will return so that they can actually watch video's full screen rather than pixelated crap at 400x300

Especially considering high definition screens are reasonably affordable and will become even more so over time and consumers are already demanding quality products which display well on their HD screens.

Mike-mijen 2009-08-11 03:09 PM

You all are right. I think everyone should quit, except ME. What not a good idea? Ok Ok I will go stand in the corner |escape|

tickler 2009-08-11 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LusciousDelight (Post 460424)
"Why would anyone pay for porn?" is a question I see a lot these days other non-porn boards. People just expect free porn and think memberships are stupid.

They just don't seem to understand the concept that making stuff cost $$$s. If people aren't making money, they aren't going to spend money making it. |catfight|

That applies not only to porn, but also mainstream. |cry|

Will Hollywood keep spending million$ making movies if everybody just downloads it for free from the thiefs. |club|

LD 2009-08-11 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by virgohippy (Post 460439)
Especially considering high definition screens are reasonably affordable and will become even more so over time and consumers are already demanding quality products which display well on their HD screens.

All true, but will people pay for quality? When mp3's became popular, no one cared they sounded like crap compared to CD's...people downloaded them, illegally, and quit buying CD's because CD's cost money and mp3's were free.

And what's to stop illegal tubes from upgrading their quality? Hollywood has the right idea..it's fucking HARD (at least for me) to make a copy of HD movies. Even my DVR charges me $5.99 everytime I want to watch a PPV. Does porn have a similar digital license encoded in the content yet? If not, it should...

walrus 2009-08-11 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LusciousDelight (Post 460445)
All true, but will people pay for quality? When mp3's became popular, no one cared they sounded like crap compared to CD's...people downloaded them, illegally, and quit buying CD's because CD's cost money and mp3's were free.

Actually, that might not be a good example. People were still buying CD's until the music industry went after the pirates. CD sales nose dived shortly after Napster was shut down.

And quality sound has really never been the primary force in peoples buying habits when it comes to music. The 8 track tape was a much better sounding medium but cassettes sounded ok and were cheaper and more robust.

CD's may be a higher quality, ie. higher bit rate but I'd bet the average person couldn't distinguish the difference in a blind side by side test.

The CD is now basically dead for the same reason as every other format in the music industry died. Something acceptable came along that was more convenient.

Carrying an iPod is much easier than carrying a CD player especially when you can carry your complete library of music on it.

NY Jester 2009-08-11 06:16 PM

I read an article that Forbes magazine are looking at some Tube sites to include as the most lucrative money makers.. ouch.

NY Jester 2009-08-11 06:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cleo (Post 460429)
I

While I'm sure tube sites and other sources of free porn hurt sales I believe the major reason that sales are so bad is we are in a major recession and credit has dried up along with very restrictive scrubbing by the credit card companies.

This is the case and I'll give a personal experiences. My uncle who has a 700+ credit score, had his main credit card account closed by the creditor after 12 years because he got up to over 50% balance to credit line.

Also Ive noticed that the we are getting calls from anyone doing services (propane, wireless phone, home phone) within 2 or 3 of receiving the bill and at least 2 weeks before the bill is due..as "reminders" of when the bill is due. Its tough all over, not just porn.

and I do love the analogy Cleo about water and porn, very good twist.

Senator_x 2009-08-11 06:28 PM

30% down from last year....

I have tweak my blogs, brushed up on my SEO skills, created more traffic, promoting heavy on webcam sites,.....I am climbing back slowly but surely.

The recession has forced me to become better at what I do. If you can survive this down turn you will emerge stronger. I have seen the mighty fall....adapt or die.

LB 2009-08-11 07:21 PM

In 04-05 I did almost half a mil $.

Every year since then it has dropped, and the 07-08 financial year was the worst for me with profit so far down I was starting to worry. But, in 08 things turned around because I stopped doing the same old garbage I was pumping out in 2002 ... that stuff doesn't work anymore, and approached people I had helped in the past who were doing very well for advice on what was working in today's market. I also did something most are incapable of doing ... i took the advice instead of asking around until I got the answer I wanted. Profit is back on the rise and things are good ... while ratios aren't what they were, there is definitely no recession in my office! If I had of been a stubborn bastard and refused to accept the changes then I would be one of the people complaining on the boards all day about how its not fair.

Thing is guys you have to adapt. The very nature of surfing has changed so radically in the youtube age that surfers simply aren't going to gravitate to sites using outdated methods. Surfers have faster internet, are used to content on demand, social networking, being able to get what they want to see and quick, and these surfers still signup when they find something they really want. Best of all SE's are moving towards getting those types of sites higher in their rankings because in the end they want a more rewarding search experience for their users. How many tube sites dominate top spots? ;)

The problem with veteran webmasters is often their ego gets in the way of progress. This industry is maturing, and unfortunately those who don't update their methods and strategy are going to be left behind. I personally am excited by the radical changes in the industry! :)

Bring it on I say ! |thumb

Rochard 2009-08-11 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cleo (Post 460429)
I was at the gym yesterday and two different people that I know there came up to me asking how business is lately. The first one is a guy that runs HIV gay cruises and he was telling me how bad business is due to credit card declines. The second person is a woman who runs a well known mainstream book and magazine store that is located in walking distance of our downtown and a major hospital that told me the same thing about credit card declines.

While I'm sure tube sites and other sources of free porn hurt sales I believe the major reason that sales are so bad is we are in a major recession and credit has dried up along with very restrictive scrubbing by the credit card companies.

When times are good expensive bottled water sells well despite water being freely available.

Finally someone has seen the light.

There has ALWAYS been free porn on the Internet. Since day one. The problem is we are in the biggest recession we've seen in our lifetimes. Sales are down EVERYWHERE.

Vivid says "sales are down 20%". Well, they are lucky. The local Wendy's up the street from my house closed down. A nearby gas station also closed down. One out of four houses on my street (five out of twenty houses) are empty because they lost their jobs and couldn't pay their mortgage. Discretionary cash is at a minimum; People are afraid to spend because they are afraid they might be next to loose their job.

Do tube sites hurt us? They sure do. But they aren't killing us. Our industry is seeing what all industries are seeing.

Jeremy 2009-08-12 02:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rochard (Post 460471)
Finally someone has seen the light.

There has ALWAYS been free porn on the Internet. Since day one. The problem is we are in the biggest recession we've seen in our lifetimes. Sales are down EVERYWHERE.
[...]

I pretty much agree with you that credit card issues / discretionary spending are where the main problems are at the moment. That and summer. I'm still seeing similar levels of clicks to sponsors but drastically fewer sign-ups. (I even saw a sponsor posting to see if any other program's ratios had suddenly doubled recently - that was refreshing honesty!)

People still click links and go through the tours but I'm guessing either their CC won't work, or they don't have the money for a subscription at the moment, or they'll only spend on something that's really special to them and, unfortunately, I just don't have the right sponsors to meet that need at the moment.

I wouldn't exclude tube sites as being part of a problem though - if you run (or ran) a tgp or mgp then tubes have pretty much just nicked half your traffic and taken your submit pass revenue with it, as well as the revenue from that traffic. But, I have seen some TGP / MGP people say that although their traffic has dived, revenue has't decreased by the same amount - so maybe the people who flock to tubes really are just lookie-loos who like to wank themselves sore.

The one thing that people always forget is that having "free porn" drastically increases the market size of potential porn purchasers.

Allfetish 2009-08-12 09:02 PM

I don't know if I believe it is mainly the economy. Remember a decade ago when 1:100 ratios were common? Before all the free porn out there?

Also I have one sponsor who has relatively rare content. They are doing about 1:50 RAW so far. My theory on that is that there is hardly any free porn out there for this fetish so people are willing to pay for it. Business basics: Supply and Demand. Sure the economy has something to do with it but all of the free porn available and the saturation are probably more of the reason for the skyrocketing ratios which go higher and higher every year.

PS- by free I mainly mean pirated.

born2blog 2009-08-13 12:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NY Jester (Post 460463)
I read an article that Forbes magazine are looking at some Tube sites to include as the most lucrative money makers.. ouch.

No surprise there, especially considering the crazy amount of traffic some of the bigger ones get. Times sure are changing faster than ever that's for sure.

winright007 2009-08-13 12:54 AM

One thing I have noticed is that membership prices have stayed the same or increased. Sure there are sites with free trials, but they limit the content within those offers.
I am not a business expert by any means, but it seems like if you lowered membership fees you would get more sign ups.
I've noticed that a lot of the big sites charge at least $30 a month. I wonder how many more sign ups they would get if they dropped the fee $10 per month or offered a bi-weekly membership option.

Sodo 2009-08-13 01:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cleo (Post 460429)
I was at the gym yesterday and two different people that I know there came up to me asking how business is lately. The first one is a guy that runs HIV gay cruises and he was telling me how bad business is due to credit card declines. The second person is a woman who runs a well known mainstream book and magazine store that is located in walking distance of our downtown and a major hospital that told me the same thing about credit card declines.

While I'm sure tube sites and other sources of free porn hurt sales I believe the major reason that sales are so bad is we are in a major recession and credit has dried up along with very restrictive scrubbing by the credit card companies.

When times are good expensive bottled water sells well despite water being freely available.

I have to agree 100% with you, free porn has existed for years, off cause if there were no free porn we would sell more, but the decline in sales and ratios is caused by the financial crisis, people are still being laid off and people are rethinking every decision when it comes to spending money! The buying what you want days are over for now, you'll have to go for what you need....my guess is that dating sites are selling better because there you can get sex for free....especially if you're not too picky! ;)

Kind regards
Sodo :)

Greenguy 2009-08-13 05:47 AM

This really is a great thread |thumb

My traffic is the same as it was about 2 years ago, but conversions are horrible & my income is down about 60-70% Each month I seem to hit a new low for income :(

There are so many things to take into account when you look at this. I just hope the economy gets a little bit better over the coming months so that we can all sell a couple memberships :)

Ms Naughty 2009-08-13 08:36 AM

With regard to free porn, my concern is that the kids of the noughties don't believe in paying for ANYTHING - even if it's independent and well-made and created just for them. It's all well and good to say that piracy has caused a much-needed shakeup in an industry that was stagnating and taking its consumers for granted (hello major record companies and porn studios) but I worry that people have become so used to getting things for free that they won't pay at all.

There doesn't seem to be an understanding of the idea that people can't create new, good stuff if it's not profitable (or even break even).

I'm trying to find the article that says Generation Z refuses to pay for anything... no luck so far.

Mike-mijen 2009-08-13 09:42 AM

The only thing I have that still selling is my real amateur sites. I feel people still want to feel like a voyeur and peek into the lives of others. I think MML had a OTB about this. How you do not see much real amateur fucking. A Guy and Gal making love for real. I also feel if the news started to point out more positive news on the economy and less about what is bad. Then the public psyche would start to change. Negative news to long can slow down this country fast. Just my half a cent worth.

LD 2009-08-13 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Greenie (Post 460652)
This really is a great thread |thumb

My traffic is the same as it was about 2 years ago, but conversions are horrible & my income is down about 60-70% Each month I seem to hit a new low for income :(

I jumped in a little over a couple of years ago and have seen steady increases in traffic over the last couple of years as I learn more about SEO and how things work in general. July was record for me in terms of traffic...but my sales are about 50% of what they were last year...:(

I had hoped to be thinking about doing this full time by now, but looks like it's not going to happen anytime soon.

It's probably a combination of things discussed...I think tube sites do reduce the amount of paid memberships people buy, and the economy causes people to spend less in general, particularly things like porn which you don't have to have. Together I think it has taken a huge bite out of money spent on porn. There's an awful lot of boring, same old shit porn produced, too. I think it makes the perceived value of porn go down in the eyes of the public. There may be people who want better quality, but don't want to wade through all the shit to get it.

Will be interesting in seeing how it all shakes out as the economy starts to recover.

plateman 2009-08-13 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Greenie (Post 460652)
This really is a great thread |thumb

My traffic is the same as it was about 2 years ago, but conversions are horrible & my income is down about 60-70% Each month I seem to hit a new low for income :(

There are so many things to take into account when you look at this. I just hope the economy gets a little bit better over the coming months so that we can all sell a couple memberships :)

thats where i am standing, but just different numbers $$

stuveltje 2009-08-13 01:20 PM

The last time i checked my yearly stats over a time preriode from 2004 to 2009, i noticed that since 2004 i could get away with less traffic and more sales, now i have 4 to 5 times the amound of traffic then in 2004 and hell i am way down with sales|banghead|

HowlingWulf 2009-08-13 01:31 PM

Wow I didn't know there were drops of 60-70%.

When I started seeing the numbers slide early this year I buckled down and went from 2 TGP galleries/day to 5/day and submitting freesites almost every day, as well as working on some new sites.

Ratios are very bad, but with all the extra traffic my income is almost the same now, so for that I'm thankful. I'd be happy if things recover and this work really pays off, but I'm not sure if ratios will ever be what they were because of what this industry has become.

horndog 2009-08-15 09:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LB (Post 460470)
But, in 08 things turned around because I stopped doing the same old garbage I was pumping out in 2002 ... that stuff doesn't work anymore, and approached people I had helped in the past who were doing very well for advice on what was working in today's market.

So what are you doing these days that you claim is working so much better?

LB 2009-08-16 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horndog (Post 460941)
So what are you doing these days that you claim is working so much better?

Stopped submitting, learned to blog, run some tubes, changed my SEO strategy somewhat too which was probably the hardest thing. A few other things too :)

If I had kept doing what I was doing 3-4 years ago I would be really hurting this year which was my point.

bart666 2009-09-04 06:30 AM

I haven't been in this biz for as long as many of you and this is just my 2 cents but I think we should also consider the dilution of this industry's revenue among all those new paysites that pop up everyday.

I'm not sure the recession can explain the conversion ratios that seem to be dropping for years now (long before the economy crisis even started). It seems more correlated to the amount/accessibilty of free porn available to surfers.

GonZo 2009-09-05 07:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cleo (Post 460429)
I was at the gym yesterday and two different people that I know there came up to me asking how business is lately. The first one is a guy that runs HIV gay cruises and he was telling me how bad business is due to credit card declines. The second person is a woman who runs a well known mainstream book and magazine store that is located in walking distance of our downtown and a major hospital that told me the same thing about credit card declines.

While I'm sure tube sites and other sources of free porn hurt sales I believe the major reason that sales are so bad is we are in a major recession and credit has dried up along with very restrictive scrubbing by the credit card companies.

When times are good expensive bottled water sells well despite water being freely available.

Shhh Cleo. Let everyone chase after the tube sites while some of us quietly retool.

bluechicken 2009-09-05 09:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Preacher (Post 460418)
A real sign of the end of times...

HAHHA! that one cracked me up.
now seriously, I have personally make more money on mainstream (none porn) then with porn.
I didn't quit anything with the porn sites, just added more mainstream ones and invested more time and money in them (because they made me more money in less effort).
I recommend all of you to do the same, slowly gradually find internet mainstream products, it's time to move on, you are not "giving a fight", you are moving from a sinking ship to a more float able.
one day you'll have to move again.
it's not that big of a deal I think. think of me what you will. i'm here for the money and don't you forget it.

LB 2009-09-07 06:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bluechicken (Post 463412)
HAHHA! that one cracked me up.
now seriously, I have personally make more money on mainstream (none porn) then with porn.
I didn't quit anything with the porn sites, just added more mainstream ones and invested more time and money in them (because they made me more money in less effort).
I recommend all of you to do the same, slowly gradually find internet mainstream products, it's time to move on, you are not "giving a fight", you are moving from a sinking ship to a more float able.
one day you'll have to move again.
it's not that big of a deal I think. think of me what you will. i'm here for the money and don't you forget it.

I am hearing that more and more... porn ratios are not going well but mainstream continues to return some excellent dollars.

I have some mainstream sites, they do ok, but I am looking to give mainstream a decent push.

Adult is the victim of a pretty shitty economy at the moment, and personally for the 2 paysite programs I run I am convinced its a lot to do with declines (declines are 400-500% up!) .. I can't even get one of my 5-6 cc's approved for many products.

There is money in adult, hell a good living if you are doing the right things, but things are far from rosy. Funny thing is now my tube sites are making more and more profit monthly than my traditional sites .. strange :)

petergg2 2009-09-07 07:11 AM

tube sites, rapidshare's (& similar service's) + ccard declines that are reason's we make less ...

I have send with every month more & more traffic but get less signups :(


I think when some people can't join pay site - because ccard decline - they search for free porn - most site's have full free copy on rapidsharse etc.

bart666 2009-09-08 03:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cleo (Post 460429)
When times are good expensive bottled water sells well despite water being freely available.

Back in the 90's, there was no free water, only expensive bottles... It does explain why ratios were higher, doesn't it?


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