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Old 2004-11-09, 03:07 AM   #9
Mishi
I want to live. I want to experience the universe, and I want to eat pie.
 
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Quote:
Originally posted by Torn
the thing that bothers me is the experts are saying over and over "Exit polls are NEVER wrong, and could NEVER be that far off" since the exit polls are 100% of those who already HAVE voted, not those who say they are going to.
That's just silly. Exit polls are notoriously innacurate. They can easily be weighted to favor one candidate or another, in dozens of different ways.

However - what troubles me is that, apparently, the exit polls were fairly accurate in all but a few states - most notably, Ohio and Florida.

If we're concerned about voter fraud, the path to follow doesn't start with the question of whether the exit polls were accurate. It starts with the question of whether the methodology used to conduct the polls (as reported) was consistant. (In other words, did the polls from state x reflect one segment of voters, while the polls from state y reflected a different segment.)

If it can be confirmed that the methodology from state to state was the same, but produced dramatically different results, then we have something that seriously needs to be looked at.

Personally, I have a strong feeling that there was vote tampering on a large scale. But I'm not going to push my feeling as fact without some damned good evidence. I am watching the blogs and the boards, and quite frankly, I'm really hoping somebody with a gift for statistics will make sense of what happened. 'Cause I smell something fishy, and it ain't a lesbian porn site.
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